Trump Tariffs on Canada & Mexico: How They Could Raise U.S. Car Prices

Tariffs and Their Potential Impact on Vehicle Costs

President Trump's tariffs on U.S. imports from Canada and Mexico could lead to higher domestic vehicle prices and lower profit margins for automakers, according to industry analysts.

As per S&P Global Mobility, the average $25,000 price of a car imported from Mexico or Canada could rise by $6,250 if the tariffs take effect. Automakers are expected to pass most of these increased costs onto consumers.

Understanding Tariffs

Tariffs are taxes imposed on imported goods to protect domestic industries. Learn more about how tariffs impact the auto industry.

Effects of the Tariffs on the Automotive Industry

Disruptions in Production

According to Michael Robinet, vice president of forecasting at S&P Global Mobility:

• The proposed tariffs could inflate vehicle prices.
• Production schedules may be disrupted.
• There could be a potential 30% decrease in production for high-exposure vehicles.

Automakers’ Response

Auto manufacturers are preparing for the impact:

• Ford CEO Jim Farley stated that the company could handle short-term tariffs but prolonged tariffs would slash profits and raise car prices.
• General Motors CEO Mary Barra mentioned restructuring their supply chain to mitigate risks.
• Aptiv, a car parts supplier, warned about disruptions to its supply chain.

Economic Implications

U.S., Canada, and Mexico’s Interdependent Auto Industry

According to S&P Global Mobility:

• 3.6 million light vehicles were imported from Canada and Mexico in 2024.
• This accounts for 22% of all U.S. car sales.
• Mexico is the largest exporter, contributing 15% of U.S. vehicle sales.

Challenges in Reshoring Production

While some manufacturing could return to the U.S., this would present challenges:

1. Increased labor costs.
2. Labor shortages in the manufacturing sector.
3. Significant investment in new manufacturing facilities.

Impact on Consumers

If new car prices increase due to tariffs, more U.S. consumers may turn to the used car market, driving up second-hand vehicle prices.

Foreign Automakers' Advantage

Ford’s CEO noted that the tariffs could benefit foreign competitors:

• Korean brands like Hyundai would remain unaffected.
• Japanese automakers like Honda and Toyota would gain a competitive edge.

Conclusion

While President Trump sees tariffs as a strategy to create U.S. jobs, economists warn of rising costs for automakers and consumers. The auto industry faces major decisions on supply chain adjustments and domestic production.